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Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 8 NFL Football Picks
Week 7 Results: Rick: 7-8; Flip: 10-5
Thursday, October 23
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5, 44.5) 8:15 pm - Minnesota absolutely stumbled themselves into a loss to the Eagles last week, turning the ball over and making mental errors one after another. They are a much better football team, especially on defense, than their 28-22 loss would suggest.
The Chargers certainly didn’t distinguish themselves by losing to the Colts, 38-24. They’ve lost games they should have won, to the Giants and Commanders, if they were really a high quality team. Even if they lose here, which they will, they’ll be fine. The schedule is favorable with Tennessee, Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, a bye and then Las Vegas. Vikings should hang around enough to win it in the 4th quarter.
Coin Flip: Minnesota
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Vikings 27 Chargers 24
Miami Dolphins at Atlanta Falcons (-7, 44.5) 1:00 pm - The Dolphins absolutely stink. Their only win was at home, against the Jets, 27-21. There is no cohesion and no team unity. Players are acting more like thugs than professionals, which is why the Falcons, which is not a great team, is favored by a touchdown. Tua Tagovailoa seems to have never recovered from his second concussion.
The 3-3 Falcons have an easily identifiable pattern. L-W-L-W-BYE-W-L.
The “W” is up for this week.
Coin Flip: Atlata
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Falcons 28 Dolphins 17
It isn’t a rumor, it’s a fact. Baltimore has the worst defense in the league, allowing 32.3 points per game. A bye week doesn’t fix that.
Coin Flip: Chicago
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bears 34 Ravens 17
Hard to see Carolina winning this game, even at home, since the Bills are coming off two straight losses (New England and Atlanta) and a bye. They should have been able to fix whatever is broken with the week off.
Coin Flip: Buffalo
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bills 30 Panthers 20
Until the Jets actually win a game, they’re worth betting against.
Coin Flip: Cincinnati
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bengals 24 Jets 13
The Texans face multiple issues. The offense may be without Nico Collins (concussion), the 49ers are 5-2, and Houston hasn’t beaten any team with a winning record so far this season.
Coin Flip: San Francisco
Fearless Rick’s Pick: 49ers 26 Texans 18
2-5 Cleveland is still auditioning quarterbacks.
Coin Flip: Cleveland
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Patriots 31 Browns 10
One might think that the Giants may not be able to bounce back and that Philadelphia has fixed what went wrong in that Thursday night loss. One would probably be right, but the gap is small.
Coin Flip: Philadelphia
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Eagles 21 Giants 17
Coin Flip: New Orleans
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Saints 23 Buccaneers 20
Denver is 3-0 at home, with wins over the Titans, Bengals, and Giants, all teams with some defects. Dallas, with the highest scoring offense in the NFL, won’t be going down easy, if at all.
Coin Flip: Dallas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cowboys 30 Broncos 24
Coin Flip: Indianapolis
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Colts 38 Titans 6
The Steelers are pretty good, but the Packers’ only loss was a flukey, 13-10 defeat at Cleveland. Other than their 40-40 OT tie at Dallas, they’ve won their games by an average of nine points and will probably do better than that in the steel city.
Coin Flip: Green Bay
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Packers 31 Steelers 19
Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 47) 8:15 pm - The Commanders looked absolutely broken in their huge, 44-22, loss at Dallas last week and they are on the road again against what may be the hottest team in the NFL.
No hope for the Commanders. The ship is sinking.
Coin Flip: Washington
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Chiefs 31 Commanders 10
Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 7 NFL Football Picks
Week 6 Results: Rick: 5-10; Flip: 8-7
Thursday, October 16
Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5, 45.5) at Cincinnati Bengals 8:15 pm - The Bengals picked up veteran Joe Flacco from the Browns and he should have most of the playbook covered in his second game for the ailing Cincinnati squad.
Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers has Pittsburgh all alone in first place in the AFC North, with the Bengals and Ravens both imploding. Last week, the Steelers dominated Cleveland with a 23-9 win and look like a solid choice to go to 5-1 to open week 7 in the NFL
Coin Flip: Cincinnati
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Steelers 31 Bengals 21
Los Angeles Rams (-3, 44.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (Wembley, London), 9:30 am - Both teams are 4-2, though the Jaguars are coming off a 20-12 loss to Seattle while the Rams make the short hop from Baltimore across the pond after a 17-3 win.
No real edge to speak of, though Matthew Stafford leads the league in passing yards (1,684) and the Rams are slightly better defensively. Points may help in what should be a close call.
Coin Flip: Jacksonville
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jaguars 27 Rams 24
1-5 Saints may be thinking about Arch Manning, as Spencer Rattler really isn’t a long-term option. Bears should wallop the Saints.
Coin Flip: New Orleans
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bears 31 Saints 10
Browns are 1-2 at home; Miami, 0-3 in road games.
Coin Flip: Cleveland
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Browns
The Raiders have not done well with Geno Smith at QB and Ashton Jeanty has rushed for over 100 yards only one time this season. The Raiders beat Tennessee last week, 20-10. Big deal. LV is 2-4 and risking obscurity.
Coin Flip: Kansas City
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Chiefs 35 Raiders 14
The Eagles last week lost to the Giants, 34-17, which, for a team coming off a Super Bowl win, is perplexing, to say the least. Philly’s troubles begin with their offense, but are extending over to the defense. They’re 4-2 and still in first place in the NFC East, but for how long? Coming off their bye week, the Vikings should prevail with a defense allowing fewer than 20 points per game.
Coin Flip: Philadelphia
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Vikings 23 Eagles 17
Coin Flip: Carolina
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Panthers 28 Jets 14
The Patriots are thinking playoffs with three straight wins and tied with the Bills in the AFC East at 4-2. Should be a breeze.
Coin Flip: New England
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Patriots 31 Titans 16
After whipping the Eagles last week, 34-17, one has to wonder how good the Giants actually are. Also, Denver hasn’t been lights out this season. Bo Nix seems a little less daring, but the defense is still solid. Denver also beat the Eagles, but last week’s 13-11 win over the Jets in England was hardly impressive. Jet lag? Giants can cover, maybe win.
Coin Flip: Denver
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Broncos 21 Giants 17
The Chargers come in off a marginal, 29-27, win at Miami and two losses prior to that. Indy comes in with a two-game win streak and a high-flying offense (32.3 mpg, leads league).
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Chargers
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Colts 36 Chargers 31
Green Bay came off their bye with a 27-18 win over the Bengals last week and should be well-prepared for this.
Coin Flip: Arizona
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Packers 27 Cardinals 13
Dallas, 2-3-1, has won just two games, one over the Giants in OT and the other over the Jets in New York. Not very impressive.
Coin Flip: Dallas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Commanders 30 Cowboys 24
Mac Jones remains the QB for SF, and they may be in trouble after a poor showing in a 30-19 loss at Tampa Bay last week.
Coin Flip: San Francisco
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Falcons 26 49ers 20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-6, 52.5) 7:00 pm - This should be a toss-up game. The Bucs lost a playoff game to the Lions in 2023, 31-23, but beat them, 20-16, in Week 2 of last season, both game in Detroit.
Tampa Bay is 5-1, and taking no prisoners. If they don’t win outright, the winning margin is likely to be razor thin. Should be a shootout, so the over looks promising.
Coin Flip: Tampa Bay
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Buccaneers 34 Lions 31
Seattle has lived up to expectations at 4-2, their only losses a 17-13 setback in Week 1 to the 49ers and a 38-35 defeat at home to Tampa Bay. While Monday’s early game looks to go over, this looks like a defensive struggle brewing.
Coin Flip: Seattle
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Texans 20 Seahawks 13
Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 6 NFL Football Picks
Week 5 Results: Rick: 9-5; Flip: 11-3
Thursday, October 9
Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 40.5) at New York Giants 8:15 pm - Coming off their first home loss since a Monday night, 22-21, defeat by Atlanta on September 16 of last year, it’s been even longer - 12/31/23 and 1/7/24 - since the Eagles lost two games in a row, so the odds are working against the Giants here. Philly won both contests last season, 28-3 and 20-13, the last game a season ender in which the Eagles sat a number of starters, including QB Jalen Hurts.
Last Sunday’s 21-17 loss to Denver was understandable. The Broncos had a solid defensive game plan, holding Saquon Barkley to just 30 yards.
Despite the loss, the reality is that the Giants don’t have nearly the defensive prowess of the Broncos. The Eagles should get back on track.
Coin Flip: Philadelphia
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Eagles 27 Giants 13
Denver Broncos (-7, 43.5) vs New York Jets (Tottenham, London) 9:30 am - Following last week’s one-sided, 37-22, home loss to the Cowboys, the Jets are now the only team in the NFL without a win this season. That’s not going to go well against Denver, which ranks second in points allowed (84 though 5 games) and now have their offense in gear.
The Jets can’t score much against average defenses. It’s not likely they’ll find the end zone often against Denver.
Coin Flip: Denver
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Broncos 34 Jets 13
The only wins the Rams have this season are against AFC foes - Houston, Tennessee, Indianapolis - and only the Tennessee game was on the road. Something about this match-up doesn’t seem quite right. Going with the Ravens because they can’t be 1-5, can they?
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Rams
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Ravens 23 Rams 20
A win here assures them of being at worst, 3-5-1 with eight weeks left to the season, reasonably in good shape. Dad Prescott is playing lights out. With a little defense, the Cowboys could win this by three scores or more.
Coin Flip: Carolina
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cowboys 34 Panthers 13
Coin Flip: Indianapolis
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Colts 38 Cardinals 17
This game will revolve around each team’s ability to handle emotions; the Jags trying to not suffer a letdown and the Seahawks attempting to shrug off a tough, 38-35, home loss to Tampa Bay. Add in the West-East travel by Seattle for extra stress. Currently, the Jaguars seem more focused and have rediscovered a winning attitude and the home crowd loves it.
Coin Flip: Jacksonville
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jaguars 24 Seahawks 21
Think the Chargers are discouraged after losing two straight, 21-18 at the Giants, and, 27-10, vs. Washington? Think again. San Diego has too much talent to lose this game. Miami’s an easy mark for Justin Herbert and one of the best defenses in the league.
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Chargers
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Chargers 30 Dolphins 16
New England’s Drake Maye (2nd in completion %, 73.9%; 5th in passing yards, 1,261) is maturing into one of the better NFL QBs and the New Orleans defense is about as solid as small curd cottage cheese, so no wonder the Vegas guys have the Pats as road favorites.
Coin Flip: New Orleans
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Patriots 26 Saints 10
Cleveland hasn’t scored more than 17 points in any game this season.
Coin Flip: Pittsburgh
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Steelers 27 Browns 10
This week is likely to be a different story as the Titans are on the road for a second straight week and the Raiders have lost four straight, though the competition was stiff - Chargers, Commanders, Bears, Colts. Both teams are 1-4, but the Raiders just appear to be slightly better than Tennessee and have home field.
Coin Flip: Las Vegas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Raiders 21 Titans 14
The QB edge goes to Baker Mayfield, fourth league-wide in passing yardage, but he may be without RB Bucky Irving and wideout Mike Evans, both of whom missed last week’s 38-35 win at Seattle.
The 49ers return from their 26-23 win over the Rams in England, but are also fairly banged-up, with QB Brock Purdy and wideouts Juan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall all questionable. With all the injuries, Tampa looks to be in better shape with a healthy Baker Mayfield
Coin Flip: Tampa Bay
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Buccaneers 30 49ers 20
There are an abundance of reasons why this is the biggest spread on the board. It looks to be a total blowout at Lambeau.
Coin Flip: Cincinnati
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Packers 41 Bengals 10
The Lions have not lost since their opening day loss to the Packers, which served as a wake-up call. The Detroit offense is the highest scoring the in the NFL. Tough spot for KC. They cannot afford another loss at this juncture.
Coin Flip: Detroit
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Lions 34 Chiefs 30
Buffalo Bills (-4.5, 49.5) at Atlanta Falcons 7:15 pm (ESPN) - The Bills come off their first loss of the season, while the Falcons resume play following a bye in Week 5. Buffalo has too much skill not to rebound here.
Atlanta is one of the toughest reads in the league. They lost to the Bucs by 3, then hammered the Vikings in Minnesota, 22-6, were dumped the following week at Carolina (30-0), and then bested the Commanders - without Jayden Daniels - 34-27. If the good Atlanta shows up, the one that uses Bijan Robinson as a battering ram, they can certainly make this one interesting. Expect the line to move to -6 possibly in favor of the Bills. Juicy.
Coin Flip: Atlanta
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Falcons 27 Bills 24
The Commanders are 2-0 at home and likely to be 3-0 when this one is over.
Coin Flip: Chicago
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Commanders 31 Bears 21
Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 5 NFL Football Picks
Thursday, October 2
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-8.5, 43.5) 8:15 pm - This line moved from Tuesday by two points, from -6.5 to -8.5, plus the O/U is three points lower than the opening line. Money is moving to the Rams, who are 2-0 at home, but both games have been won by a TD or less (Texans, Colts).
Last season, the Rams won both meetings, 27-24, and, 12-6, so this figures to be a well-played, close game. San Francisco already has two road wins, 17-13, at Seattle, and, 26-21, at New Orleans, so the 8.5 spread seems a bit much in this divisional clash.
At issue is the health of the 49ers, with QB Brock Purdy and both wideouts - Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall - out. Mac Jones has been solid as a backup, but his options will be limited. The 49ers can keep this close because their defense is solid and all healthy. The offense will have to lean on Christian McCaffrey, which isn’t a bad option.
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Rams
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Rams 21 49ers 17
Minnesota Vikings (-3.5, 38.5) vs Cleveland Browns (Tottenham, London), 9:30 am - Wake up call for the Browns, who apparently weren’t all there last week as they got blasted at Detroit, 34-10. They have to travel again this week, much further, and may be a little leg-weary.
Speaking of road warriors, the Vikings were in Dublin last week, and just have a short hop over to London for this contest. If they haven’t been overindulgent on tourist treats, the Vikings should put on a winning display for the Brits. Carson Wentz will have to be a little more careful with the ball after tossing two INTs last week.
Coin Flip: Minnesota
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Vikings 24 Browns 16
Baltimore, admittedly, has had the tougher schedule, already having suffered losses to the Bills, Lions, and Chiefs, so they may find the Texans a little easier than recent competition. Houston doesn’t have any excuses for losses to the Rams, Bucs, and Jaguars, but their 26-0 win over Tennessee last week might have gotten out some of the frustration. The Ravens are another story altogether and even being at home may not help Houston, who has a problem.
Coin Flip: Baltimore
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Ravens 24 Texans 18
Miami has an identical 1-3 record, earning their first win Monday night, by topping the Jets, 27-21. It was the first time this season that the Dolphins hadn’t allowed 31 or more points, so, all indications point to Byrce Young thrilling the hometown fans with some dazzling QB play.
Coin Flip: Carolina
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Panthers 34 Dolphins 20
Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor are a great 1-2 backfield punch and should send Geno Smith and the 1-3 Raiders home with a fourth straight loss.
Coin Flip: Indianapolis
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Colts 28 Raiders 17
Dart may be just the boost the Giants need to get them back to respectability. The defense isn’t bad and 0-4 New Orleans, even at home, doesn’t appear to be going anywhere soon except towards a high draft pick.
Coin Flip: New York Giants
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Giants 27 Saints 13
At least the Cowboys have the look and feel of a real NFL team, and they have Dan Prescott, who, when he’s on, can light up just about any defense. Playing away from home is probably a bonus for the Cowboys. Takes some of the pressure off. Last week’s tie with the Packers was not a bad thing, though a win would have been better. With a win here, Dallas may begin to look like a contender. They have Carolina, Washington, Denver, and Arizona after this, leading up to a bye in Week 10.
Coin Flip: Dallas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cowboys 38 Jets 17
The Eagles haven’t won any game by more than seven points this season and are going to lose one of these close ones sooner or later. This could be the week.
Coin Flip: Denver
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Broncos 23 Eagles 20
At 2-2, Arizona remains in the hunt in the wide open NFC West and this is a game they should win with relative ease. The Titans have yet to cover this season. It’s been the easiest angle this season. Ride it until it breaks or HC Brian Callahan gets the hook. Might be soon.
Coin Flip: Tennessee
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cardinals 40 Titans 14
Neither team has any discernible edge in this game other than the Seahawks being at home. Tampa Bay is coming off a tough, 31-25 loss against the Eagles, and have to travel a long distance. Edge to Seattle, but this could go either way.
Coin Flip: Tampa Bay
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Seahawks 24 Buccaneers 18
Nearly shut out in Denver Monday night, 28-3, this one could be even worse.
Coin Flip: Detroit
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Lions 42 Bengals 0
The Chargers were shocked by Jaxson Dart and the Giants last week, so they need to get back on the winning track, though the Commanders won’t make it very easy. At 3-1, LA is in the driver’s seat in the AFC South, and a loss here wouldn’t hurt that much. Should be one of the best games of the weekend. Leaning toward the visiting team.
Coin Flip: Washington
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Commanders 26 Chargers 24
The Bills kind of went through the motions in their 31-19 win over New Orleans, and they’re home for the third straight week. Wile the Pats appeared superbly talented in whipping Carolina, 42-13, this is a whole different ball game.
Coin Flip: Buffalo
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bills 35 Patriots 17
Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5, 46.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars 8:15 pm - OK, so, the Chiefs haven’t looked invincible the first four weeks of the season, but, they’re 2-2 after dismantling Baltimore’s defense last week in a 37-20 romp and there are still 13 games left in the regular season.
The Jaguars actually have a better record, 3-1, and deserve credit for wins over both Houston (17-10) and San Francisco (26-21). They may have one of the better defenses in the league and being at home certainly helps against the AFC champions. Of course, the Chiefs could just blow them away, but this game may be Jacksonville’s opportunity to send a message that they belong to the rest of the league.
Coin Flip: Jacksonville
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jaguars 30 Chiefs 27
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