|
Election Journal
This page will be updated daily, and probably more than just a few times a day, especially on Election Day evening, as actual results emerge. Noting hat some states, like Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Michigan, have warned that if could take additional days to count all the votes, this blog might still be going strong in January (we all hope not).
November 6, 8:10 am ET: It was some time after 3:00 am that the networks finally projected that Donald Trump would win Pennsylvania, putting his electoral college tally just short of 270. Trump spoke to supporters as the president elect, even though some states were still undecided, including Wisconsin, which had been trending in his direction since the polls closed there some hours ago.
When all the votes are counted, Trump's final electoral college score may be well beyond 300, giving the president elect a commanding margin and a mandate to fix what the Biden-Harris administration broke.
Early Wednesday morning, the day after, the accepted totals are 286 electoral votes for Trump, 226 for Harris according to Decision Desk HQ, with Arizona and Michigan still undecided.
Trump is also leading the popular vote, with 70,625,969 votes, to 66,066,277 for Harris.
The Senate continues to trend Republican, the current projected tally at 52 Republicans to 43 Democrats, with a handful of races still up in the air.
The House has too many open races to call, but Republicans are close to holding their slim majority.
November 5, 11:15 pm ET: Trump is closing in on the 270 electoral college votes needed to win the election. With 214 electoral college votes already assured, he leads in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Network wonks are reluctant to call any of the "battleground" states for Trump, despite the obvious trend.
New Hampshire and Virginia are also very tight.
Trump only needs to take any five of the following seven states and their (electoral votes):
Georgia (16)
And there are a few more states still undecided, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, Nevada, Connecticut, and New Hampshire.
All night long, on the network broadcasts, positive developments for Kamala Harris have been few and strained. The handwriting is on the wall. All that remains is to continue the counts. Trump will win handily.
Experienced, unbiased political reporters would already be highlighting Trump's momentum, but there are no reporters of those qualifications to be found. The numbers are close, but his leads in North Carolina and Georgia are already too great for Harris to prevail.
Senate and House races are all trending Republican. This could be the Red Wave that was ripped away in the steal of 2020.
There's going to be tears on the network and cable shows by 12:30 or 1:00 am ET.
It's almost over.
Rick Scott has also secured the Senate seat in Florida. He's also up by 12%.
Trump is leading in Georgia by about 200,000 votes, but in the big counties of Fulton and DeKalb, large Democrat strongholds, the vote is coming in slowly.
None of the networks have called Virginia, which is essentially tied, as is North Carolina. Also, New Hampshire is in play.
Not looking very positive for Harris, as even if she wins Pennsylvania, she may not have enough to get anywhere near close to 270 electoral votes, if Trump carries Georgia, North Carolina, and Virginia.
As I said earlier today, this could be over by 11:00 pm Eastern.
As far as the senate is concerned, Republicans are looking at picking up a solid majority. Races are still too close to call, but, if Trump has "coattails" the senate will have a Republican majority of 54-46 or 53-47.
Voting in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona has just closed.
Officials in Pennsylvania are saying that they won't have a final tally tonight. Too bad for them, because the rest of the country is likely to have already moved on, and their result won't matter.
There's nothing left to do except to vote and make some final predictions. Some long-time fans (or haters) of mine may recall that I correctly called the first Trump victory in 2016 about two weeks after the Donald descended on the golden escalator at Trump Tower. I was never as confident in predicting a winner, except when I called Jimmy Carter back in 1976.
That one was pretty easy, by my standards. Carter was clearly the best Democrat candidate, winning the nomination with little trouble, and he and running mate, Walter Mondale, went on to trounce Republicans Gerald Ford and Bob Dole in the electoral college, 297-240.
Though Carter carried only 23 states, they happened to be all the big ones, mostly Eastern establishment enclaves such as New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Ohio, Florida, Georgia (his home state), and Massachusetts. When Texas, and its 26 electoral college votes went to Carter, it was all over, by about 11:00 in the Eastern time zone.
Oddly enough, back then, California, Washington, Oregon, and practically all of the midwest including Illinois, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Michigan, and Colorado, all went Republican. My, how times have changed.
So, here we are about eight hours before the first states will be declared. Some people are saying it will take days, maybe weeks, before the winner is announced. In Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, there's been enough skulduggery afoot to suggest a massive cheating by the party of "our democracy", the Democrats.
I don't believe its going to happen. The vote counts are going to favor Trump by so much, that a repeat of 2020 would take a Herculean effort, and the Dems aren't up for it. The selection of Kamala Harris as the candidate after Biden was seen as a complete train wreck, practically guaranteeing an enormous Trump victory, was a convenient excuse for the Dems. There was no candidate, not even the hair-gel king of California, Gavin Newsome, willing to step up and challenge Trump.
Kamala Harris was elected to be the sacrificial lamb. The rest of the story, as it unfolded, was mostly fiction and gas-lighting, willingly advocated and enabled by the Democrat party propaganda arm, commonly known as mainstream media (MSM).
The polls were as corrupt as most politicians, maybe more so, oversampling women, Democrats, and anybody who would call Trump a loser, Nazi, fascist, or any other slurred moniker. The race was never close; it was just made to appear that way, a made-for-TV election movie if ever there was one.
So, as the clock moves past noon here in deep-red Tennessee, I'm here to say that the big story will be essentially over by about 11:00 pm Eastern or maybe earlier, after Trump "surprisingly" wins Virginia (BTW: it went Republican in 1976, when Carter won), and states like North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are moved from "too close to call" to "predicted for Trump."
The media will have all the excuses at hand, about how the polling was wrong (again), how Kamala Harris and Tim Walz (Dumb and Dumber) botched the message, how MAGA Republicans turned out in massive numbers and voted early, how blacks stayed home, and on and on, ad nauseam.
But, mostly, they will be weeping over how Harris has no path to victory, shedding crocodile tears while showing off their electronic electoral college maps and predictive AI non-sequiturs while Trump cruises to a victory they all know was baked in the cake from the very start.
Rioting in Portland, Oregon and Seattle, Washington, maybe Los Angeles, will commence around 10:00 Eastern as those states and their electoral votes will not matter one whit.
Trump will end up winning the electoral college by a margin or 325-213, if not larger and America will at least get a four-year reprieve form transgenderism, open borders, and a fake economy. Democrats will badger Trump endlessly, probably try to impeach him a few more times, but their pleas will fall on mostly deaf ears. The nation will be more interested in seeing massive numbers of illegals deported, lower gas prices, completion of the border wall, an end to the Ukraine conflict and some kind of short-term respite the Middle East, but that's getting ahead of things.
Democrats will try to defeat Trump afterwards by threatening to not certify the results or claim that the Republicans cheated. Lawsuits will be flying everywhere as the Dems use their best weapons, confusion and fear, to keep what remains of their lame narrative alive. It's not going to work.
I actually explained how they'll hector and harass President Trump in a piece I did back in January, called "Joe Biden, Fall Guy". The Dems have to figure they truncated Trump's first presidency, so doing it again will be a walk in the park. Well, best laid plans, as they say.
If you're so inclined, you can view the electoral college map I created over at RCP
My other predictions are for the Republican to pick up between 3 and 5 seats in the Senate and to narrowly hold the House. While the cheaters didn't have the wherewithal to steal the presidential election, they'll probably go all out in House races, which are a heck of a lot easier to subvert.
In the Senate, the Republicans will pick up seats in at least three of the six toss-up states (AZ, MI, OH, PA, WI, NV), probably Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Adding to their total of 51, which includes wins in Texas, Florida, Montana, and Nebraska. Starting in January, the Senate will have flipped, with a Republican majority of 53-47 or 54-46. It might be a big enough majority for Trump to be able to pull a Marco Rubio or Tim Scott out to serve in his administration. We'll just have to wait and see.
That's it for now. I'm going to go cast my vote as many times as possible (that's a joke, folks). I'll be back later on to either gloat or commiserate. I'll try my best to stay sober, but that is likely going to be a tough task. I'm not campaigning for anything, so I'll make no promises.
It's somewhat heartwarming that RCP would let rip with so much honesty, but it still doesn't detract from the damage done by the Democrats and the media comparing Trump's Madison Square Garden rally to a Nazi rally from 1939.
Meanwhile, America continues to impersonate a third-world country, with Washington, Oregon, and Nevada governors putting the National Guard in their states on standby, preparing for protests over election results. Next up, tanks in the streets.
These pre-election preparations seem a bit odd, given that Kamala Harris is expected to easily carry the left-leaning states of Oregon and Washington, and, while, Nevada is still considered a toss-up, its six electoral college votes aren't likely going to swing the election one way or the other by itself.
There may be some inside polling shared by Democrats and possibly the media - but definitely not the general public - that are indicating a Trump victory, which would render the western states inconsequential and possibly spark protests by radical leftists, which are well known in cities like Portland and Seattle. Nevada, specifically Las Vegas, is loaded to the hilt with illegals, who might be prompted to some levels of violence in the case of a Trump win.
Calling up the National Guard falls right into line with the additional barricading of the White House and the Capitol, which began a few months ago and is now at a level third world dictators might envy.
Washington D.C. has been turned into an ugly complex of hardened steel and concrete everywhere, which happened right after Biden's rigged election win in 2020. Democrats, for all they preach about caring and democracy, have the unique tendency to erect walls to keep unwanted people out, except, that is, when they want to let certain people in, like at the southern border.
On other development worth noting is the New York Times Tech Guild went on strike Monday morning, after voting in September to walk off the job if the union's demands weren't met. The guild includes more than 600 technology workers, including data analysts and software engineers who maintain the NY Times' infrastructure and website.
What a shame if the venerable grey old lady wasn't around on election day to influence the vote.
November 3: The talking heads on the Sunday morning news shows were all touting the Kamala Harris "surge" among undecided voters, touted by former Obama campaign manager, David Plouffe, who believes that women are concerned about RFK Jr. being put in charge of healthcare if Trump wins, prompting independent and Republican suburban women to vote for Harris, among other dubious claims.
There's not a scintilla of data to support Plouffe's claims, but the media whores couldn't help themselves and went full tilt boogie, drooling over a Harris victory on Tuesday, making claims that healthcare, abortion, and women's health would be the deciding factors over unchecked immigration, crime, corruption, and the economy.
OK, sure. There are plenty of Americans stupid enough to believe the half-truths, outright lies, and shaded realities the media presents. Some of them will actually act upon the propaganda, and vote for Kamala Harris. As H.L. Mencken quipped years ago, "No one in this world, so far as I know, has ever lost money by underestimating the intelligence of the great masses of the plain people."
I spent most of Sunday trying not to think about what might happen on Tuesday, watching football and making a nice tomato sauce using the varieties from my garden.
November 1: The media continues to call the election for president between Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald J. Trump too close to call, though there are many polls and betting indicators leaning strongly toward Trump winning a second term of office.
A not small significant faction of mostly Republican voters believe the 2020 election was a fraud and that Trump actually won, which has been a contentious issue ever since polls closed in November of that year. Many of these same people believe the Democrats are trying to steal the election again, as they are hell-bent on keeping Mr. Trump out of the White House.
|
Your ad could be in the next issue of idleguy.com for as little as $6 per month. Contact Fearless Rick using the form on page 12 for more information.
|