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Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 6 NFL Picks
Week 5 Results: Rick 4-10-1; Flip: 6-8-1
Thursday, October 15
Seattle Seahawks (-2.5, 42.5) @ Denver Broncos (8:15pm, Amazon Prime Video) - Solid matchup between probable playoff teams to start the week. Seattle coms off a tough home loss to the 49ers in an error-filled, 32-29, game, while the Broncos handled the desperate, now 0-5, Chargers, 23-17
This game is also one of seven games this week with home underdogs/road favorites, a real test for football handicappers. Both teams have shown to be fairly adept on both sides of the ball and this should be a toss-up game, so let’s go with Denver at Mile High.
Coin Flip: Denver
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Broncos 26 Seahawks 21
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-3, 43) (9:30 am NFL Network, London) - Jacksonville continues to look like one of the top three teams in the AFC after winning over Philly, 19-17, last week in London. Getting back on home turf can only help their cause against a serious division rival.
Jacksonville, besides being 4-1 against 1-4 Houston, has statistical advantages on both offense and defense.
Coin Flip: Jacksonville
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jaguars 23 Texans 16
The Giants escaped with a 27-all tie at Washington last week and still sit atop the NFC East with a 3-1-1 record, though they might have been better. Jameis Winston has stepped up as backup QB and has the Giants believing in themselves.
Coin Flip: New York Giants
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Giants 27 Saints 17
Getting points at home never hurts, especially when you have Jalen Hurts behind center. This could easily turn into a low-scoring, defensive struggle won by a late field goal.
Coin Flip: Carolina
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Eagles 20 Panthers 17
The trouble with that line of thinking is that the Browns are 2-0 at home (but the Ravens are 3-0 on the road). Something has to give, and its probably going to be Baltimore’s matador-style defense.
Coin Flip: Cleveland
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Browns 19 Ravens 17
1-4 Tampa Bay is fortunate to be in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL. A win here could set the stage for a solid return to respectability given Baker Mayfield should soon return.
Coin Flip: Tampa Bay
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Buccaneers 23 Steelers 20
The Titans will eventually win a game this season (maybe), but not this one.
Coin Flip: Tennessee
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Colts 30 Titans 16
Should the Bears really be favored on the road without their starting QB, and, even if Williams does play, will he be 100%?
Coin Flip: Atlanta
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Falcons 31 Bears 24
The Jets have a road win this season, but it was at Tennessee in Week 1, a 23-10 triumph. Last week’s 17-12 win over the Browns was in New York, so this really favors the Patriots in a big way. Last season, New England took both meetings, 27-14, at home, and 42-10, in New York.
Coin Flip: New York Jets
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Patriots 28 Jets 13
Arizona was outrun and outplayed at home last week by the Lions, a 45-21 rout, their fourth straight loss. They’re at the bottom of the division, a space they’re likely to occupy for the remainder of the season.
Coin Flip: Arizona
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Rams 40 Cardinals 10
Hard to believe LA can drop out of the race so early. While they may not win at KC, they might manage to keep it close.
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Chargers
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Chiefs 24 Chargers 20
Vegas comes off a humbling, 45-17, loss at New England and are beginning to come back to reality, losing two straight after three wins to start the season. Buffalo may be Super Bowl bound, but the Raiders will be lucky to be playing in January.
Coin Flip: Buffalo
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bills 38 Raiders 24
Green Bay got their offense in gear against the Bears last week and appears headed in the right direction. This is only their third home game this season, and Dallas is 1-1 in road tests this year.
Coin Flip: Dallas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Packers 28 Cowboys 23
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers (-7, 50) (8:15pm, ESPN) - The 49ers improved to 5-0 with a wild win at Seattle last week, winning 32-29, in a game marred by turnovers and mental mistakes on both sides.
Speaking of mental mistakes, the Commanders blew a perfect chance to win in overtime against the Giants last week, allowing the clock to run out when they were well within field goal range. While a tie is better than a loss, Washington could have used the win and will do everything they can to get things right at San Fran.
Coin Flip: Washington
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Commanders 30 49ers 23
Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 5 NFL Picks
Week 4 Results: Rick 12-3-1; Flip: 9-6-1
Thursday, October 8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys (-8.5, 47.5) (8:15 pm, Amazon Prime Video) - This is a tough call, only because the Buccaneers have yet to win a game. Tampa Bay will be pulling out the complete playbook against a still-suspect Dallas defense.
The Cowboys are likely to win, but Tampa Bay will fight until the end.
Coin Flip: Dallas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cowboys 31 Buccaneers 26
Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars (-7, 42.5) (9:30am NFL Network, London) - Very tough spot for the 2-2 Eagles after their defense gave in against the Rams last week in a 24-20 defeat at home. A trip across the pond, multiple injuries and the retirement of right tackle Lane Johnson, adds up to a rough trip against one of the AFC’s best teams.
The Jags have lost just once this season, and that was to a quality Denver team on the road, 20-13, in Week 2. Jacksonville leads the AFC South and is likely to remain on top of the division for the duration of the regular season.
Coin Flip: Jacksonville
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jaguars 28 Eagles 16
The Browns are tied with the Ravens at 3-1 atop the AFC North, and this appears to be a solid spot to extend their winning streak to four straight. After losing their opener at Jacksonville, 34-10, the Browns have knocked off Tampa Bay, Carolina and Pittsburgh, the last on Thursday night, giving Cleveland extra time off in preparation for their visit to the Big Apple.
Coin Flip: New York Jets
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Browns 27 Jets 17
With the Bengals at 2-2 following last week’s humbling, 22-17, home loss to Jacksonville, Joe Burrow will come out firing, but he may be without two or three of his top receivers, including Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Cincinnati’s defense is about average, yielding roughly 20 points per game. Expect a better performance this week.
Coin Flip: Miami
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bengals 27 Dolphins 10
The Raiders fell just short of beating the Chiefs last week, surrendering a 30-27 decision at home for their first loss of the season. As long as Kirk Cousins keeps making plays, the Raiders are a threat every week and their defense is relentless. While the Patriots have evened their record at 2-2, they’ve not managed to find explosive, chunk plays on a regular basis, making this an iffy call.
Coin Flip: Las Vegas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Raiders 30 Patriots 27
Figure on this being an error-prone affair, and the Titans getting a boost from the home town fans and a few long field goals.
Coin Flip: Houston
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Titans 19 Texans 17
Pittsburgh seems to be just average, even with Aaron Rodgers running the offense, while the Colts have significant upside. Last season, they had run up an 8-3 record before QB Daniel Jones was lost for the season. Their first two losses this season were to Baltimore and at Kansas City, but have bounced right back with two straight wins and are looking to remain competitive in the AFC South.
Coin Flip: Pittsburgh
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Colts 31 Steelers 21
Green Bay is healthy, but both offense and defense have been shaky at times this season. A loss here might erode the team’s confidence even more, but the Bears are a solid group in all phases. Their +47 differential is third-best league-wide.
Coin Flip: Green Bay
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bears 26 Packers 18
In that case, OK, the Commanders get the points nod, but it needs to be understood that the Giants are 3-1 and Washington, 1-3. The Giants have lost four straight to the Commanders, so maybe things are going to begin evening out in the NFC East.
Coin Flip: New York Giants
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Commanders 27 Giants 20
Minnesota has allowed a league-low 51 points and are 4-0. New Orleans doesn’t have a defense. They gave up 45 Monday night to the Falcons, at home, and, even though they get a second straight home game, they’re not going to stand up against the Vikings. The Saints have allowed 128 points, worst in the league.
Coin Flip: New Orleans
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Vikings 24 Saints 14
The Chargers aren’t scoring a lot, but neither is Denver, and the Broncos are coming off a 24-14 loss at San Francisco and are on the road a second straight week, which often takes its toll. Wouldn’t bet the house on this, but the Chargers are probably better than their 0-4 record might suggest.
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Chargers
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Chargers 30 Broncos 20
It wouldn’t be a surprise if the ‘Niners won this game because they’ve won the last four meetings in Seattle and seem to have the Seahawks’ number and a way to quiet the Seattle fans.
Coin Flip: Seattle
Fearless Rick’s Pick: 49ers 26 Seahawks 24
This is only Arizona’s second home game of the season. They lost the first one, 31-7, to Seattle in Week 2, but, the Lions are a miserable 0-2 on the road, with losses at Buffalo and Carolina, last week’s 32-26 loss to the Panthers dropping them to 2-2. Cardinals might bounce back from their 36-24 loss at the Giants last week, the final score somewhat misleading, as the Cardinals were driving late in the game before the Giants ended it all with a pick-6.
Coin Flip: Detroit
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cardinals 40 Lions 31
Clouding - or perhaps clearing up - the issue will be the absence of Ravens’ starting QB, Lamar Jackson, apparently out with an ankle sprain. Makes it a lot easier to go with hot-handed Atlanta.
Coin Flip: Atlanta
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Falcons 35 Ravens 21
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams (-3, 54.5) (8:15 pm, ESPN, ABC) - Expect this game to go well over the posted O/U, possibly the highest-scoring game of the weekend. Neither team has demonstrated stoutness on defense, but the offenses are humming.
Buffalo is coming off its first loss of the season, a 29-26 defeat at home to division rival, New England. The Rams rallied to win at Philly, 24-20. These two last met in 2024, with the Rams coming away with a 44-42 home win.
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Rams
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bills 41 Rams 38
Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 4 NFL Picks
Week 3 Results: Rick 9-6-1; Flip: 9-6-1
Thursday, October 1
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 38.5) @ Cleveland Browns (8:15 pm, Amazon Prime Video) - Apparently, Aaron Rodgers can still spin it. Rodgers threw for 292 yards and three TDs in Pittsburgh’s, 30-27, home win over the Bengals, leaving all four AFC North teams with identical 2-1 records after three weeks.
Cleveland stunned Carolina, 21-18, in their home opener. The Browns likely have a better defense than the Bengals and should pester Rodgers into a couple of costly mistakes. These two split their season series last year with the Browns winning at home, 13-6.
Coin Flip: Cleveland
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Browns 23 Steelers 16
Indianapolis Colts (-3.5, 47) @ Washington Commanders (9:30 am, NFL Network, London) - The Colts found their winning ways last week at home, holding off Houston, 19-17, to go to 1-2 on the season, ending a nine-game losing streak extending back to week 12 of last season. The Commanders shocked everybody by knocking off Seattle, 33-31, in DC.
Being played across the pond makes for an interesting matchup, though the Colts seem to be better prepared - and with their regular starting QB, Daniel Jones, as opposed to Marcus Mariota filling in for the injured Jayden Daniels - for the trip abroad.
Coin Flip: Indianapolis
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Colts 30 Commanders 21
The Bears got an exceptional performance from fill-in QB, Case Keenum, in their 27-7 rout of the Eagles Monday night. The quick turn-around at home shouldn’t bother the Bears. They appear to be one of the top three teams in the league at this juncture, even without Caleb Williams.
Coin Flip: New York Jets
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bears 31 Jets 10
The Cardinals are off to a 1-2 start to the 2026 campaign. Despite their record, the losses have been to Seattle and San Francisco, with the win over the Chargers in Week 1. They are likely to find it tough going against the stout Giants’ defense, which needs to carry the day until the offense finds some answers.
Coin Flip: New York Giants
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Giants 23 Cardinals 17
While this may eventually serve as a precursor to some playoff matchup, the main interest is in seeing which team screws up less, and, at this point, it seems the Eagles have a lock on making poor decisions. Miss this fiasco if at all possible.
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Rams
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Rams 24 Eagles 14
The way the Bills are going, and especially being at home against a hated division rival, this could very well be a blowout performance. Buffalo is one of the top three teams in the league. Even their defense is improving.
Coin Flip: New England
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bills 38 Patriots 17
If the Ravens don’t completely dominate Derrick Henry’s former team, the universe is cockeyed. No way anybody in their right mind would take the Titans on the road, even with 14 points.
Coin Flip: Tennessee
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Ravens 30 Titans 6
While Joe Burrow has gotten most of the positive press in recent years, he’s been outplayed by Jacksonville’s Trevor Lawrence, who also has managed to stay healthy for his 5+ seasons with the Jags. Jacksonville is coming off a big, 35-6, win over New England, and are currently cooking red hot. Cincy lost at Pittsburgh last week, 30-27. The Bengals’ defense probably won’t hold up here.
Coin Flip: Cincinnati
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jaguars 31 Bengals 17
Houston, on the other hand, still has problems too numerous to count. They can’t sustain drives and the defense is sloppy and prone to missed coverages, which might turn deadly against Dallas.
Coin Flip: Houston
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cowboys 34 Texans 18
At this juncture, Green Bay appears to have fewer issues than the Bucs, though after their 35-14 home loss to Atlanta, one wonders if they can bounce back to win on the road. Tampa Bay is desperate for a win and this one might be it.
Coin Flip: Tampa Bay
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Buccaneers 23 Packers 14
Miami might be the worst team in the league, though Tennessee might press them on that account.
Coin Flip: Miami
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Vikings 20 Dolphins 10
Wins over Miami, the Chargers and the Saints may not sound like much, but, for the Raiders, they are the essence of finding ways to win. The Chiefs may not find the atmosphere in Las Vegas to be friendly and heads-up play by the Raiders may produce the upset of the week.
Coin Flip: Kansas City
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Raiders 26 Chiefs 24
After their opening week loss to the Chiefs, Denver has won two straight and looked very positive doing so. Last week’s 30-26 win over the Rams was no fluke. Denver has athletes and attitude.
Coin Flip: Denver
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Broncos 28 49ers 14
Seattle, being the reigning champion of the league, gets every team’s best shot. Unfortunately for the Chargers, that shot may be a blank.
Coin Flip: Seattle
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Seahawks 41 Chargers 14
RB Chuba Hubbard of the Panthers may have a breakout game against a soft Detroit run defense.
Coin Flip: Carolina
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Panthers 34 Lions 24
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints (-3, 48.5) (8:15 pm, ABC, ESPN) - solid divisional matchup with two teams that are improving, though both have records of just 1-2, making this a very pivotal contest.
Tyler Shough has been on target for the Saints and actually may emerge as one of the league’s top QBs this season. Atlanta’s Michael Penix Jr. led the Falcons to their first win of the season with a 35-14 win over the Packers last week. Give Atlanta a slight edge in an emotionally-charged game.
Coin Flip: New Orleans
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Falcons 26 Saints 19
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