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Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 2 NFL Picks
Week 1 Results: Rick 5-11; Flip: 9-7
Thursday, September 17
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills (-4.5, 53.5) (8:15 pm, Amazon Prime Video) - Both defenses displayed vulnerabilities in Week 1 victories, though Detroit’s was more egregious, allowing the Saints to rally and send the game into overtime. Besides, the Lions were at home, whereas the Bills played at Houston.
Buffalo chewed through Houston’s defense effectively. As usual, it was mostly QB Josh Allen (334 yards passing, 2 TDs, 23 rushing, 2 TDs) doing the most damage. Expect more of the same against a porous Detroit defense.
Coin Flip: Detroit
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bills 34 Lions 27
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots (-5.5, 41.5) (1:00 pm, CBS) - Pittsburgh’s defense played well against Atlanta in their 20-13 win, but the offense struggled to run the ball, gaining only 58 yards on the ground. That’s unlikely to work against the Patriots, who come off a tough Super Bowl rematch loss to the Seahawks, 13-10.
NE QB Drake Maye threw three picks in that loss, but don’t expect Pittsburgh to do the same. In fact, the numbers may be reversed as the Patriots pester Aaron Rodgers into errors. He’s not as mobile as he used to be.
Coin Flip: New England
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Patriots 24 Steelers 10
The Jets had little difficulty downing Tennessee, 23-10, and their balance on offense should work to their advantage. New York has newfound confidence and should surprise with an upset.
Coin Flip: New York Jets
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jets 26 Packers 23
The Bucs only had 53 plays from scrimmage in their 33-27 loss, which says they were quite efficient offensively. Could be a second straight blowout loss for the Browns.
Coin Flip: Tampa Bay
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Buccaneers 38 Browns 17
Tennessee is still years away from being a contending team in the NFL. Ward, so far, has been a bust, but the Titans don’t have many options. They’ll stick with him until they lose more games or Ward gets injured.
Coin Flip: Philadelphia
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Eagles 31 Titans 14
If Minnesota’s defense is as good as advertised and the offense avoids turnovers, they will keep this one close. Chicago rushed for 291 yards in their 59-37 rout of Carolina. That’s not going to happen again. The Bears allowed 478 yards of offense to the Panthers, a bit much, even in a romp.
Coin Flip: Minnesota
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bears 31 Vikings 30
Carolina got ambushed by the Bears, a team that may be the best in the league after all is said and done, so draw a line through their 59-37 home loss. Bryce Young wasn’t bad - 23-37, 361 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT - so things look good for the up-and-coming Carolina squad.
Coin Flip: Carolina
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Panthers 27 Falcons 13
Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry led a 41-23 romp in Indianapolis last week and appear to be everything they’re supposed to be. Henry looks exceptionally fit and powerful and the Saints will have issues trying to contain him. Baltimore appears ready to take no prisoners.
Coin Flip: New Orleans
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Ravens 34 Saints 16
This is an important game for the Texans, who are home for a second straight week. Starting off 0-2 is not what they have planned, but they showed holes on defense against the Bills last week in their 36-31 loss, an Burrow will take full advantage, especially if he’s not pressured. Tough call, but Cincy has things going in the right direction.
Coin Flip: Cincinnati
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bengals 24 Texans 21
The Jags made easy work of Cleveland in their 34-10 rout of Cleveland, and proved last season to be one of the best all-around teams in the NFL. Even if Denver was cooking on all burners, they’d have trouble toppling the Jags. Hard to believe the Broncos are favored here.
Coin Flip: Jacksonville
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jaguars 30 Broncos 20
The Chargers might find a way to win this game, but it’s not going to be easy. Vegas had its way with the Dolphins and the defense played smart. If the Chargers can’t contain Ashton Jeanty, they’re in for a long afternoon. This could come down to a late field goal or OT.
Coin Flip: Las Vegas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Chargers 23 Raiders 20
Unless the ‘Niners have jet lag after their 27-7 stomping of the Rams, this could get ugly, early. There aren’t many big mismatches in the NFL, but this sure looks like one.
Coin Flip: San Francisco
Fearless Rick’s Pick: 49ers 42 Dolphins 10
The Cowboys are another one of the teams with high hopes but still with flaws and they are vulnerable to an offense that will not quit, such as Washington showed in their 24-22 loss at Philly last week. Dallas won both meetings last season, but the Commanders can take it to them this time around.
Coin Flip: Washington
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Commanders 27 Cowboys 24
Seattle managed to slip by New England in the season opener, 13-10, and have had plenty of rest, the game played last Wednesday. Their defense is likely to clamp down on Jacoby Brissett and maybe force a few turnovers. Seattle’s offense isn’t exactly world-class, but they will score enough to make this one a laugher.
Coin Flip: Seattle
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Seahawks 24 Cardinals 6
Indy got spanked by Baltimore, 41-23, and they may suffer another setback if their defense can’t keep the Chiefs offense off the field. KC also has as solid a defense as can be found in the league and that may ultimately prove to be the difference.
Coin Flip: Indianapolis
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Chiefs 31 Colts 21
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams (-7, 48.5) (8:15 pm, ESPN) - Maybe the Giants aren’t as good as their 28-20 win over Dallas suggests and maybe the Rams aren’t the dynamic, Super Bowl-bound team everybody suggested preseason.
The Rams got stuffed good and hard by the 49ers in Australia last week in a 27-7 humbling loss, and though they’ve had time to adjust, they’ll be without Myles Garrett, who didn’t log a defensive stat against the 49ers and now is out at least four weeks. It’s a problem and NY’s Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo will gladly take full advantage.
Coin Flip: New York Giants
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Giants 24 Rams 20
Fearless Rick & Coin Flip Week 1 NFL Picks
Preseason Week 3 Results: Rick: 10-6; Flip: 4-12
Wednesday, September 9
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 44) (8:20 pm, NBC) - The champs are back in action in a re-match of last season’s Super Bowl. The Seahawks may actually be better than they were last year and that spells trouble for the visitors.
Can Sam Darnold duplicate his 2025 season? That’s a key question surrounding this game and the remainder of the season, but one thing is certain: the Seattle defense will be a force with which to reckon. The Pats also will be better on defense and the addition of A.J. Brown to the New England receiving corps will provide QB Drake Maye some big time playmaking.
Coin Flip: Seattle
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Seahawks 20 Patriots 13
San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 48.5) (8:35 pm Netflix, Melbourne) - OK, we get it. The Rams are la creme de la creme in the NFL. They will probably win this game - the first ever in Australia - against their NFC West rivals, the 49ers, who have the usual injury issues already, with no less than 11 starters listed as questionable a week before the game.
The Rams may get the assistance on defense of Aaron Donald, who has been working out with the team, but they’re unlikely to need him. Going with the Rams just on hype. After this, we’ll see.
Coin Flip: Los Angeles Rams
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Rams 27 49ers 20
Buffalo Bills (-1.5, 44.5) @ Houston Texans (1:00 pm, CBS) - Houston, we have a problem, and it’s called C.J. Stroud. The Texans signal-caller was horrible in the playoffs last season and has plenty to prove heading into the regular season. The Bills have revamped their defense and will be pressuring most of the afternoon.
Buffalo still has Superman, aka Josh Allen, and his wingman, James Cook III, both of whom will be all-pro again this season. Add in D.J. Moore at wideout and the Bills have the look of a team that could finally go all the way.
Coin Flip: Buffalo
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bills 31 Texans 14
What the Jets have going for them is a revamped defense, Geno Smith at QB and another season with Aaron Glenn as head coach. Both teams were 3-14 last year, so this game is a tough one to call, but give the Jets the nod on Geno Smith’s experience behind center.
Coin Flip: Tennessee
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jets 24 Titans 16
Indy was headed for the playoffs in 2025 until Jones’ injury left them leaderless. There’s a very good possibility that the Ravens may be a little overrated here especially against a quality Colts team at home. Baltimore’s defense was nothing special last season and they may not be much better in 2026.
Coin Flip: Baltimore
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Colts 31 Ravens 21
Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield will have Bucky Irving by his side, and that may make all the difference for the Bucs’ offense. Irving missed seven games last season, and, including the 31-25 loss to Philly in which he was injured, the Bucs were 3-5. Tampa missed the playoffs by a hair but are likely to rebound in 2026. This one looks like a shoot-out.
Coin Flip: Cincinnati
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Buccaneers 34 Bengals 31
Cleveland (5-12 in 2025) will start discredited Deshaun Watson over Shedder Sanders in the first of two consecutive road games. The idea is that Watson will either make or break in those two games giving the Browns’ brass reason to start Sanders at QB for the home opener, or not. Either way, give the points. Could be a romp.
Coin Flip: Jacksonville
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Jaguars 34 Browns 9
Atlanta seems to have figured out its QB rotation, for now, with Tua Tagovailoa getting the call over injured Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush. Atlanta can lean on RB Bijan Robinson while the Steelers are still in search of a running game. Defenses appear equal. Razor’s edge to Atlanta.
Coin Flip: Pittsburgh
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Falcons 20 Steelers 17
Caleb Williams may be gunning for MVP this season. He was lights out last year and should be ready to roll. Carolina QB Bryce Young still needs some fine-tuning, but he was on the right path in 2025. No reason to believe he won’t be better this year. Tough call in a game that may be won by a field goal or possibly in OT.
Coin Flip: Chicago
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Panthers 27 Bears 24
New Orleans goes with Tyler Slough over Spencer Rattler at QB, though neither of them hold a candle to Detroit’s Jared Goff, which is why giving seven is probably not enough for Saints’ backers.
Coin Flip: Detroit
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Lions 30 Saints 17
This is one of the more unimportant games of the week, but eyes will be focused the Raiders and starting QB, Kirk Cousins, who gets the nod over #1 pick, Fernando Mendoza. How long Cousins keeps his job runs somewhere between three and five losses and this could be #1. Miami goes with Malik Willis at QB and DeVon Achane at RB, who could be the missing link for Miami’s offense.
Coin Flip: Miami
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Dolphins 27 Raiders 17
They appear wildly overmatched on the road against the Chargers, an 11-6 team in 2025 that has higher aspirations in 2026. LA should rip here.
Coin Flip: Arizona
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Chargers 42 Cardinals 20
After a sub-par 9-7-1 season, despite making the playoffs, the Packers need to prove they are a contender in the division and conference. They have proven ability and can probably force more than a few turnovers by the Vikings. Although these games are often close, the Vikes seem to be behind the eight ball this season. Have to like the Packers’ chances of starting off 1-0.
Coin Flip: Minnesota
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Packers 24 Vikings 19
While the Eagles have a decided edge on defense, the offense, which will run through Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley, lacks downfield threats outside of DeVonta Smith, though the Commanders’ secondary has ample resources with which to cover him. Philly may win this, but it’s likely to be closer than the spread indicate.
Coin Flip: Philadelphia
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Commanders 27 Eagles 23
Dallas has all the offense it needs, but the defense is still lacking the kind of players that can halt drives, and that’s a problem in a game that may go down to the final seconds.
Coin Flip: Dallas
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Giants 26 Cowboys 23
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 42) (8:15 pm, ESPN) - Patrick is supposedly ready to go for the season opener, which is welcome news for the Chiefs. Denver has a healthy Bo Nix at QB and a defense that was top-shelf last season.
Denver won both contests against their AFC West rival last year and took the division with a 14-3 record. Without Nix at QB, they could not generate any offense in a 10-7 loss to New England in the AFC Championship. Given a healthy Bo Nix and a team three points short of a trip to the Super Bowl, are we to believe the Chiefs will rebound from a 6-11 season (losing all six of their last games) to challenge the AFC again. Color is doubtful.
Coin Flip: Kansas City
Fearless Rick’s Pick: Broncos 30 Chiefs 17
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